Wednesday, March 10, 2010
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Presentation slides by Leon Tuey to TASS on 25 Feb 2010 is now available under Analysts' Contributions section.

 


TASS members are valid for 25% discount on Your Trading Edge magazine, please follows the link to proceed further  www.ytemagazine.com/tass.


 

International and local speakers are welcome to present to TASS members. TASS monthly meeting schedule is quite flexible, normally between 7-10 pm. Please email tass@tass.org.sg for arrangement, kindly be informed that the talks are subject to TASS committee approval. TASS committee reserved the rights to consider and reject any talk offers. 

Charting Software vendors are welcome to present to TASS members. You may try your best to introduce your charting software functions, if you think your charting software is fantastic and price is competitive, you may approch the committee for arrangement of the talks, please contact tass@tass.org.sg  for further details. Kindly be informed, the talks are subject to TASS committee approval, TASS committee reserved the rights to consider and reject any talk offers. 

The committee is pleased to announce that TASS has joined Singapore Chinese Chamber of Commerce and Industry for its corporate membership. Members of TASS could enjoy the benefits of SCCCI members now.

 


 

Mr Daryl Guppy has kindly offered his newsletter "Tutorials In Applied Technical Analysis" to TASS Members at a 20% special discount off the retail pice.

Each week, the Newsletter will examine technical trading methods, new techniques, reviews of established indicators, assessment of methods used with new trading instruments and adaptations for developing market conditions. It brings together some noted writers, but also new and emerging writers who share their trading experience. Many of the writers first introduced in this newsletter have gone on to become recognised authors in their own right with books published by John Wiley and others.  

A copy of the newsletter is attached for your perusal.  Interested parties can fax him the discounted order form at Resources > Discounted Materials, or apply as a public online at his website www.guppytraders.com/gup123Bsg.htm

12
month subscription to the newsletter is AUD $199.00  (A$159 after 20% discount, for TASS members only and a 6 month subscription for AUD $109.00. (A$87 after 20% discount, for TASS members only)

 


 
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Singapore Refining Co to shut gasoline unit in Q2
3/8/2010 9:45:30 PM Singapore Business News Headlines | Business
(For refinery outages in the new Reuters Oil Fundamentals Database see http://bond.views.session.rservices.com/CE/ or go to <OFD/INFO>)
Shell, SRC to shut Singapore gasoline units
3/8/2010 10:28:27 PM Singapore Business News Headlines | Business
(For refinery outages in the new Reuters Oil Fundamentals Database see http://bond.views.session.rservices.com/CE/ or go to <OFD/INFO>)
Mitsui aims to restart Singapore oil trading-sources
3/7/2010 8:41:22 PM Singapore Business News Headlines | Business
* Expected return to city-state comes after 3-year hiatus
S.E.Asia's first Universal Studios park to open March 18
3/5/2010 12:12:00 AM Singapore Business News Headlines | Business
Southeast Asia's first Universal Studios movie theme park featuring attractions from films like Jurassic Park and Shrek will open in Singapore on March 18, the operator said Friday.
Singapore boosts security on Malacca terror warning
3/4/2010 11:18:49 PM Singapore Business News Headlines | Business
SINGAPORE, March 5 (Reuters) - Singapore said on Friday it had raised alert levels in the city-state and beefed up security at its airport and new casino resorts, after a warning by its navy of possible attacks on oil tankers in the region. "We received intelligence from our liaison partners about this possible plot to go and attack vessels coming through Singapore waters through the Straits of Malacca," said Singapore's Home Affairs Minister Wong Kan Seng in parliament, according to state broadcaster ChannelNews Asia.
Singapore warns of terror threat in Malacca Strait
3/4/2010 3:35:00 AM Singapore Business News Headlines | Business
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Technical Analysts Society (Singapore)
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Coming TASS Events in March, April and May

 


12 March 2010,  Friday  --   by Ivan Koh,

Topic:  Trading opportunities when failed 1-2-3 waves become corrective waves A-B-C

Time:

7:00 pm to 9:00 pm ( Reg starts at 6:00 pm )

Date:
Mar 12th Fri,  2010
Venue:
Singapore Chinese Chamber of Commerce & Industry, 
Exhibition room (2nd floor), 47 Hill Street, Singapore  179365, (for driving participants, there is multistory carpark behind SCCCI, at Capitol Building)
Speaker:

Ivan Koh

Outlines:

Fees:

 

During the TASS Talk, Ivan will illustrate in detail - how FTSE STI was testing and eventually broke up above 2008’s low of 2745.96 (17/03/08). Thereafter, FTSE STI changed the whole market’s sentiment from bearish to bullish. Where, Wave-123 pattern had been changed to Corrective Wave-ABC. Ivan will show you few past money making examples and suggest few stocks which could generate $$$ for you in near future.
 
From his study and observation, Ivan has developed a trading strategy and then applied on few individual stocks that have similar pattern and traded very profitably. Of course, his Club members too, have learnt the same trading methodology and made some money. Now, Ivan is very eagerly to share with TASS members

 Public $20 norminal fee, members free

light refreshments starts 6:20PM,Participants are reminded not to bring in the seminar room any drinks or food, as advised by SCCCI management.

Ivan Koh, founder of a private investors Club IEA (Investor’s Educational Aid).  His primary objective for setting up Club IEA is to share his trading experience through his application of Fibonacci Analysis and Elliott Wave Theory. He conducts Seminars, Workshops and Market Talks periodically on local stocks market and courses for MetaStock as well as Technical Analysis on Fibonacci and Wave Theory. Ivan also provides SGX End-of-Day Data services.  

Graduated from Nanyang University in 1976 with a Bachelor Degree in Commerce, majoring in Industrial & Business Management. He started his career as a Bullion Broker, Dealer, Trading Manager, Investment Manager and Managed Fund Manager.He was employed and associated with renowned local and International companies, e.g. Wardly Broking, Refco Singapore and Sassoon Financial Futures.With extensive trading experience in derivative products for more than 30 years, e.g. Precious Metals, Forex, Commodities, Financial & Index Futures as well as Stocks & Shares Markets.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

April Event:  Daytrading Demystified - the Holistic ATG approach

Time:

7:00 pm to 9:00 pm ( Reg starts at 6:00 pm )

Date:
April 1st, Thursday,  2010
Venue:
Singapore Chinese Chamber of Commerce & Industry, 
Exhibition room (2nd floor), 47 Hill Street, Singapore  179365, (for driving participants, there is multistory carpark behind SCCCI, at Capitol Building)
Speaker:

Axel X. Engler 

Outlines:

 

 

 

 

Fees:

 

-          Day-trading experiences from 20 years of trading

-          Essential prerequisites of a successful trader

-          Detailed trade planning

-          Statistically relevant trade journals

-          Trading strategies that have proven successful and profitable

-          Mental and psychological aspects of trading

light refreshments starts 6:20PM,Participants are reminded not to bring in the seminar room any drinks or food, as advised by SCCCI management.

 Public $20 norminal fee, members free

About the speaker:

Axel has over 20 years of experience in the financial industry. His career as a trader began back in 1986 with an apprenticeship at the bank Sal. Oppenheim jr. & Cie.  on the floor of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. After university studies of economics and business administration in Mannheim, Kempten and Johannesburg/South Africa he participated in a graduate trainee program in the treasury division of Bayerische Vereinsbank AG, Germany’s third largest bank at that time, and after various assignments he was promoted to be the Director of the Institutional Equity Sales Department for Corporate Investors. In 1997 Axel founded one of Continental Europe's first Hedge Funds, Vega Capital Management AG, where he has held the position of the Chief Investment Officer ever since. Axel is a Certified Financial Technician (IFTA) and a Certified Financial Planner (HfB). He is also qualified as a Professional NLP-Practitioner (INLPTA), Certified Hypnotherapist (NGH) and Reiki Master. Axel resides in Zug, Switzerland, with his wife and son.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

21 April 2010,  Wed  -   by Clement Wong,

 

 


10 May 2010,  Monday  --   by Ng Chee Seng

Topic:   Investing and trading Singapore stocks, are you ready?

 


 

 

 

Read More
Tom Dorsey Presentation to MTA - Nov 2009

 

Mr. Tom Dorsey of Dorsey, Wrights & Associates presented to "Market Technicians Association - MTA" on methods of Tactical Management of portfolios. About 60 minutes : 

http://media.mta.org/videos/2009/educational-web-series/thomas-dorsey/thomas-dorsey.html

Happy Learning....

 

Read More
CFTe Certification - 7 Oct 2009 (Wed) - for Level-2 ONLY

Certified Financial Technician (CFTe Level-2)  - Certification Exam

IFPAS  (Insurance & Financial Practitioners Association of Singapore)
7, Hong Kong Street
Singapore 059650
Tel : (65) 65351221

Room: NTUC Room at Level 3  (turn left after coming out of lift)
Exam date: October 7, 2009  (Wed)
Exam time:  10:00 am - 1:00 pm
Remarks :    Please be there for registration 15 mins before exam starts.

How to get there:
NorthSouth line  -or-  EastWest line:
City Hall exit B
Take any bus at the bus stop near the exit, alight at the 2nd bus stop (Boat Quay stop)
Walk across the road into Hong Kong Street, IFPAS building is somewhere at the middle on the right.

NorthEast line:
Alight at Clarke Quay Station
Come out from The Central shopping mall
Walk across and go into Hong Kong Street
IFPAS is on the left

 

 

++ For CFTe Level-1:  Registration starts in November with new format of ONLINE exam ++

Please watchout for announcement in IFTA website   www.ifta.org

 

 

 


 


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Page 1 of 1First   Previous   Next   Last   
The Last 10 Dow Bears
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Location: BlogsLeong Yue Hoong    
Posted by: yuehoong 7/8/2008 4:21 PM

Following kpyang's excellent posting on the bearish Dow on Jul 01, the Dow market plunged a day after on Jul 02 entering into what the market coined as the 'Bear Market', a term used when the price has fallen more than 20% from its previous record high which was achieved on Oct 9 2007. It went on to set the tone for the all important employment release the following day for Jul 03 which was brought forward because of the US holiday.

Since 1900, whenever the Dow enetered into a Bear Market, it has on average dropped by 30% and lasted over a year. If you are interested in equity and what the bear market implies, Ned Davis Research's "The Stock Traders Almanac 2008" has an interesting recap of the last 10 Dow Bears which I summarised it here.

Mar 19 2002 - Oct 9 2002
Dow lost 31.5% in 204 days
Trigger: Worldcom and Enron

Jan 14 2000 - Sept 21 2001
Dow lost 29.7% in 616 days
Trigger: Bursting of dot-com bubbles.

Jun 17 1998 - Aug 31 1998
Dow lost 19.3% in 45 days
Trigger: Collapse of LTCM

Jun 17  1990 - Oct 11 1990
Dow lost 21.2% and lasted 86 days
Trigger: Invasion of Kuwait

Aug 25 1987 - Oct 19 1987
Dow lost 36.1% in 55 days
Trigger: Currency valuations debate between US and Germany

Nov 29 1983 - July 24 19874
Dow lost 15.6% in 238 days
Trigger: Inflation fear.

Apr 27 1981 - Aug 12 1982
Dow lost 24.1% in 472 days
Trigger: Excessive interest rates

Sept 8 1978 - Apr 21 1980
Dow lost 26.9% in 591 days
Trigger: Stagflation

Sept 21 1976 - Feb 28 1978
Dow lost 26.9% in 525 days
Trigger: Stagflation again

Jan 11 1973 - Dec 6 1974
Dow lost 45.1% in 694 days
Trigger: Watergate scandal and trhe Arab-Israel war.

I supposed that brings back alot of memories for those who have been in the market for many years. Notice that recent bear markets tend to recover faster than older ones. International linkages and dynamism with other non-equity markets offer more avenues for equity to recover from major Bears as compared to the older days. Also, notice that most Bears were caused by inflation resulted primarily from runaway oil prices which were very similar to what we are witnessing now. The oil plays and credit situation should continue to be the drivers for the quity market in the short term ahead.

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Comments (5)   Add Comment
Re: The Last 10 Dow Bears    By kpyang on 7/8/2008 10:21 PM
Hi Yue Hoong, <br><br>Wow, that's great information. Based on same analogy, the high of Dow on 10 Dec, 2007 was 14198.1, if taking 30% away, Dow may correct down to 9938.67. That's a scary information to know. But we must take precautions to protect ourselves if that happens.<br><br>BTW, I still could not upload image to TASS, I think maybe we members are not given the permission to upload images. I do not see the upload button as shown in Wang Tao's post. Can you please verify that?<br><br>Thank you.<br><br><br>

Re: The Last 10 Dow Bears    By zhuyuan on 7/12/2008 9:54 PM
this time maybe can add in Fennie Mae and Freddie Mac

Re: The Last 10 Dow Bears    By tassadmin on 7/15/2008 5:12 PM
Hi Kok Ping, I have replied to you separately on the image issue, tks. Hi Zhu Yuan, tks for bringing them up, yes these 2 institutions are extremely impt and are unfort also affected by the foreclosures. However I do not see them as the trigger point for the downturn, they are more like the victims themselves. Their fate though will have immense impact on american society.

Re: The Last 10 Dow Bears    By dofus gold on 3/4/2010 2:37 PM
They said that <a href=http://www.dofuskamass.com/>dofus kamas</a> can be bought online. Is there anyone who have ever bought <a href=http://www.dofuskamass.com/>achat kamas</a> before? Because at present I am in urgent need for <a href=http://www.dofuskamass.com/>dofus kama</a>. I want to know more about online<a href=http://www.dofuskamass.com/>dofus gold</a>, I think it must be more cheaper to <a href=http://www.dofuskamass.com/>buy kamas</a>, as they were provided in bulk.

Re: The Last 10 Dow Bears    By dofus gold on 3/4/2010 2:46 PM
http://www.dofuskamass.com


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